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Emissions 8 min read Feb 14, 2026

Natural Gas vs Propane: Emissions, Cost, and Efficiency Compared

CO₂ emission factors, cost per million BTU, combustion efficiency differences, and infrastructure trade-offs for heating and process applications

Natural gas and propane are both clean-burning fossil fuels, but they differ in emissions, cost, and infrastructure. Natural gas emits 117 pounds of CO₂ per million BTU. Propane emits 139 pounds of CO₂ per million BTU — a 19% difference that matters for emissions reporting and fuel switching decisions.

Cost comparison requires converting to common units. Natural gas is priced per therm (100,000 BTU). Propane is priced per gallon (91,500 BTU). This guide covers the conversion math, EPA AP-42 emissions factors, efficiency differences, and infrastructure considerations.

CO₂ Emission Factors and Calculation Method

EPA AP-42 Chapter 1 emission factors: natural gas at 117.0 lb CO₂ per million BTU, propane at 139.0 lb CO₂ per million BTU. These are based on complete combustion and are independent of equipment efficiency.

A facility burning 50,000 therms of natural gas per year produces 585,000 lb (292.5 tons) CO₂. The same heat from propane: 695,000 lb (347.5 tons) CO₂. Switching from propane to natural gas reduces CO₂ by 15.8%.

For greenhouse gas reporting, also account for methane and nitrous oxide emissions, though these are minor compared to CO₂. Convert to CO₂ equivalent using GWP factors: CH₄ × 25, N₂O × 298.

Formula: Annual CO₂ emissions:
Natural gas: Therms × 0.1 × 117 = lb CO₂
Propane: Gallons × 0.0915 × 139 = lb CO₂

Quick factors: 1 therm NG = 11.7 lb CO₂
1 gallon propane = 12.7 lb CO₂
Emissions

Natural Gas vs Propane Emissions Calculator

Compare CO2, NOx, and total emissions between natural gas and propane for heating and process applications. See emissions per MMBtu delivered and annual totals based on your usage.

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Cost Per Million BTU Comparison

Natural gas at $1.20 per therm: $12.00 per million BTU. Propane at $2.50 per gallon: $27.32 per million BTU. At these prices, natural gas costs 56% less per unit of heat.

Equipment efficiency is essentially identical between fuels when using the same technology. A modern condensing furnace operates at 95% to 97% AFUE on either fuel.

Where efficiency diverges is in older equipment. Replacing a 78% AFUE natural draft furnace with a 96% condensing unit saves 17% to 19% on fuel. The fuel switch and equipment upgrade decisions should be evaluated together.

Infrastructure and Conversion Considerations

The biggest factor is often infrastructure availability. Natural gas pipeline extensions cost $30 to $100 per linear foot. A one-mile extension can cost $158,000 to $528,000, making propane the clear choice in rural areas.

Propane requires on-site tank storage. Leased tanks lock you to one supplier. Owned tanks cost $1,500 to $4,000 residential, $5,000 to $15,000 commercial, plus installation.

Equipment conversion between fuels requires different orifice sizes. Conversion kits cost $50 to $200 per appliance. A whole-house conversion runs $500 to $1,500 in parts and labor. Some equipment is not field-convertible.

Frequently Asked Questions

Natural gas: 117 lb per million BTU versus 139 lb for propane. That is a 15.8% reduction for the same useful heat delivered.
Yes. Propane is listed as a clean fuel under the Clean Air Act of 1990. It produces significantly fewer emissions than coal, oil, or wood, but more CO₂ per BTU than natural gas.
Most modern furnaces can be converted with a factory orifice kit ($50 to $150). Installation takes about an hour. Some older and high-efficiency models are not field-convertible. Check with the manufacturer.
Disclaimer: Emission factors are based on EPA AP-42 published values. Actual emissions vary with equipment condition and maintenance. Cost comparisons depend on local fuel prices which fluctuate. Consult a licensed HVAC professional for conversion decisions.

Calculators Referenced in This Guide

Emissions Live

Fuel Combustion Emissions Calculator

Calculate CO2, NOx, SOx, and PM emissions from fuel combustion using EPA AP-42 emission factors. Supports natural gas, propane, diesel, fuel oil, and coal with annual emissions totals and cost-per-ton estimates.

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Natural Gas vs Propane Emissions Calculator

Compare CO2, NOx, and total emissions between natural gas and propane for heating and process applications. See emissions per MMBtu delivered and annual totals based on your usage.

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